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2024-12-14 03:57:07

Finally, the statement of the property market still reiterates "promoting the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize", and there may not be much unexpected things coming out. This is to remind everyone. There is a high probability that the interest rate will continue to be lowered, so the RRR cut should be on the way.On November 8, I suggested that the reason for lightening the position was that if it continued to rise here, there would be a technical deviation at the daily level after closing at 3489.78 points. The same is true of the pressure now. As long as it closes at 3470.66 points today, it will form a technical deviation.To put it simply, if you open higher and go higher today, there may be another stage high point in the short term, which may not be too friendly for the promotion of the market outlook. At least before the daily deviation is digested, it is a hidden dark mine, and then the fluctuation will be relatively large.


In another case, if it opens higher and goes lower today, and the closing price does not exceed 3470.66 points, then the short-term estimate will continue to step back and digest. On the contrary, this situation is a good thing. We only need to deal with it with high throwing and low sucking, and then we will have a real acceleration cycle after we gain momentum again.In another case, if it opens higher and goes lower today, and the closing price does not exceed 3470.66 points, then the short-term estimate will continue to step back and digest. On the contrary, this situation is a good thing. We only need to deal with it with high throwing and low sucking, and then we will have a real acceleration cycle after we gain momentum again.3. The monetary policy has shifted from steady to moderately loose, which has been mentioned again since 2011. I don't need to say much, but this is expected, and it hasn't landed yet, and the above supplement is to keep the bottom line of systemic risk, so it won't be like the previous flood irrigation, at least in 2014. Leveraged cattle should be difficult to reproduce.


Secondly, the status of the stock market has obviously risen, but the last 500 billion swap facility+300 billion loan repurchase just pulled the index to 3509 points. This time, the expectation lies in the medium and long term. In addition to fighting chicken blood in the short term, it is not as effective as the substantial payment in early November. Don't rush to chase after it.What I want to express is very simple. The tone of this meeting is very positive, but it is beneficial to the medium and long term, and the short term may not be as radical as everyone thinks. At least today is suitable for holding shares, but it is not suitable for chasing up. Next, let's talk about my views from a technical point of view!3. The monetary policy has shifted from steady to moderately loose, which has been mentioned again since 2011. I don't need to say much, but this is expected, and it hasn't landed yet, and the above supplement is to keep the bottom line of systemic risk, so it won't be like the previous flood irrigation, at least in 2014. Leveraged cattle should be difficult to reproduce.

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